This neat trick makes it simpler to forecast a decade of stock-market returns

A new research paper finds that there’s a simpler way of cyclically adjusting earnings to forecast future returns using just one year’s data instead of ten.

Feb 26, 2025 - 02:00
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This neat trick makes it simpler to forecast a decade of stock-market returns
A new research paper finds that there’s a simpler way of cyclically adjusting earnings to forecast future returns using just one year’s data instead of ten.

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