Fed's Powell says central bank could face 'challenging scenario' due to tariffs

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said in prepared remarks in Chicago that the central bank would wait for more data before changing interest rates.

Apr 16, 2025 - 13:15
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Fed's Powell says central bank could face 'challenging scenario' due to tariffs

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that the central bank could face a "challenging scenario" as it contends with President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

Powell said the duties on U.S. trading partners imposed by the White House are "significantly larger than anticipated," and that they are "highly likely" to lead to a temporary rise in inflation.

"We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension," Powell said in prepared remarks to the Economic Club of Chicago. "If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.

TRUMP'S TARIFFS ARE PUTTING CONSUMERS AND BUSINESSES IN A BIND, TECH ASSOCIATION WARNS

The Fed chair also said the central bank would wait for more data on the economy's direction before changing interest rates, as it aims to reduce inflation to its 2% target.

"For the time being, we are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance," Powell said. His remarks noted a potentially tough situation developing for the Fed in which inflation is pushed higher by tariffs while growth and potentially employment weaken.

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The outlook has now become extremely uncertain, Powell said, with "fundamental changes" in policy that don't provide businesses and economists with any clear parallels to study.

In his first public remarks on recent financial volatility, however, Powell said he felt that bond and stock markets were functioning well, with the swings in security values showing investors taking stock of the new landscape.

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Asked if there is a "Fed put" where the central bank will step in if markets plummet, Powell said "no, with an explanation... Markets are processing what's going on...markets are struggling with a lot of uncertainty and that means volatility. But having said that, markets are functioning... Conditional on being in such a challenging situation, markets are doing what they're supposed to do. They're orderly and they're functioning just about as you would expect them to function."

Reuters contributed to this report

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